YEARLY HIGH
9.4888 CDF
YEARLY LOW
8.9132 CDF
YEARLY AVERAGE
9.2526 CDF

2019 LKR to CDF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the LKR to CDF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 12, valuing the pair at 9.4888. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 7, dropping to 8.9132.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.5756 CDF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 8.9885 to the December average rate of 9.2605, the exchange rate registered a net change of 3.03% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 9.4888 was down 9.70% compared to the 2018 peak of 10.5086, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 LKR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 47,444 CDF
2018 Average 49,941 CDF
Yearly Trough Low 44,566 CDF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,878.02 CDF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

9.4765
8.9441
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

LKR to CDF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 9.2363, compared to 9.2688 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0325 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 9.2363
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 9.2688

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was August, with a trading range of 0.2902 CDF (High: 9.4761 / Low: 9.1859). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0916 CDF (High: 9.4059 / Low: 9.3142).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.2902
April Spread (Stable) ±0.0916

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.1170 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1170

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2019: 9.4321) against the same month in 2018 (average: 10.1748), the exchange rate shifted by -0.7427 (-7.30%).

2019 Avg (July) 9.4321
2018 Avg (July) 10.1748

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 9.1858 8.9132 8.9885
February 9.2715 9.0789 9.1748
March 9.3351 9.0737 9.1862
April 9.4059 9.3142 9.3743
May 9.3907 9.2237 9.3238
June 9.4073 9.3113 9.3705
July 9.4888 9.3568 9.4321
August 9.4761 9.1859 9.3248
September 9.2948 9.1327 9.2078
October 9.2278 9.1245 9.1682
November 9.2892 9.1339 9.2195
December 9.3009 9.1814 9.2605