YEARLY HIGH
0.7167 NPR
YEARLY LOW
0.6102 NPR
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.6736 NPR

2018 LKR to NPR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the LKR to NPR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 11, valuing the pair at 0.7167. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 31, dropping to 0.6102.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1065 NPR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.6621 to the December average rate of 0.6268, the exchange rate registered a net change of -5.33% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.7167 was down 2.30% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.7336, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 LKR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 3,584 NPR
2017 Average 3,416 NPR
Yearly Trough Low 3,051 NPR
Transaction Impact: A difference of 532.68 NPR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.7056
0.6196
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

LKR to NPR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.6723, compared to 0.6750 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0026 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.6723
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.6750

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was November, with a trading range of 0.0588 NPR (High: 0.6821 / Low: 0.6233). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0077 NPR (High: 0.6725 / Low: 0.6648).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.0588
March Spread (Stable) ±0.0077

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.0350 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0350

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2018: 0.6985) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.6742), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0243 (+3.61%).

2018 Avg (September) 0.6985
2017 Avg (September) 0.6742

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.6664 0.6582 0.6621
February 0.6725 0.6601 0.6652
March 0.6725 0.6648 0.6684
April 0.6801 0.6671 0.6725
May 0.6910 0.6736 0.6838
June 0.6948 0.6749 0.6820
July 0.6951 0.6846 0.6899
August 0.7030 0.6864 0.6942
September 0.7167 0.6829 0.6985
October 0.6975 0.6764 0.6877
November 0.6821 0.6233 0.6527
December 0.6420 0.6102 0.6268