YEARLY HIGH
0.6311 NPR
YEARLY LOW
0.5819 NPR
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.5958 NPR

2021 LKR to NPR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the LKR to NPR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 1, valuing the pair at 0.6311. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on March 28, dropping to 0.5819.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0491 NPR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.6111 to the December average rate of 0.5953, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.59% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 0.6311 was down 3.64% compared to the 2020 peak of 0.6549, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 LKR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 3,155 NPR
2020 Average 3,196 NPR
Yearly Trough Low 2,910 NPR
Transaction Impact: A difference of 245.65 NPR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

0.6133
0.5868
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

LKR to NPR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.5978, compared to 0.5938 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0039 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.5978
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.5938

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was April, with a trading range of 0.0417 NPR (High: 0.6249 / Low: 0.5832). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0064 NPR (High: 0.6019 / Low: 0.5955).

April Spread (Volatile) ±0.0417
July Spread (Stable) ±0.0064

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2021. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0135 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0135

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2021: 0.6111) against the same month in 2020 (average: 0.6282), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0170 (-2.71%).

2021 Avg (January) 0.6111
2020 Avg (January) 0.6282

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.6311 0.5898 0.6111
February 0.6026 0.5900 0.5977
March 0.6047 0.5819 0.5894
April 0.6249 0.5832 0.6017
May 0.6033 0.5836 0.5937
June 0.5993 0.5881 0.5931
July 0.6019 0.5955 0.5982
August 0.5969 0.5851 0.5944
September 0.5943 0.5827 0.5890
October 0.6031 0.5930 0.5966
November 0.5934 0.5867 0.5895
December 0.6046 0.5864 0.5953