YEARLY HIGH
0.0921 SCR
YEARLY LOW
0.0746 SCR
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.0840 SCR

2018 LKR to SCR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the LKR to SCR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 15, valuing the pair at 0.0921. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 31, dropping to 0.0746.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0175 SCR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0905 to the December average rate of 0.0758, the exchange rate registered a net change of -16.20% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.0921 was down 0.05% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.0921, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 LKR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 460 SCR
2017 Average 445 SCR
Yearly Trough Low 373 SCR
Transaction Impact: A difference of 87.53 SCR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.0920
0.0744
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

LKR to SCR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0871, compared to 0.0809 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0062 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0871
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0809

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was September, with a trading range of 0.0050 SCR (High: 0.0855 / Low: 0.0804). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0009 SCR (High: 0.0851 / Low: 0.0842).

September Spread (Volatile) ±0.0050
August Spread (Stable) ±0.0009

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2018. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.0030 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0030

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 0.0905) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.0892), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0013 (+1.43%).

2018 Avg (January) 0.0905
2017 Avg (January) 0.0892

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.0921 0.0889 0.0905
February 0.0908 0.0860 0.0879
March 0.0910 0.0861 0.0877
April 0.0886 0.0852 0.0863
May 0.0889 0.0850 0.0854
June 0.0855 0.0844 0.0850
July 0.0856 0.0847 0.0851
August 0.0851 0.0842 0.0848
September 0.0855 0.0804 0.0827
October 0.0817 0.0779 0.0797
November 0.0792 0.0756 0.0775
December 0.0769 0.0746 0.0758