YEARLY HIGH
0.0794 SCR
YEARLY LOW
0.0701 SCR
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.0766 SCR

2019 LKR to SCR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the LKR to SCR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 23, valuing the pair at 0.0794. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 11, dropping to 0.0701.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0093 SCR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0751 to the December average rate of 0.0756, the exchange rate registered a net change of 0.72% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 0.0794 was down 13.73% compared to the 2018 peak of 0.0921, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 LKR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 397 SCR
2018 Average 420 SCR
Yearly Trough Low 351 SCR
Transaction Impact: A difference of 46.44 SCR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

0.0787
0.0747
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

LKR to SCR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0770, compared to 0.0762 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0008 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0770
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0762

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was August, with a trading range of 0.0092 SCR (High: 0.0793 / Low: 0.0701). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0004 SCR (High: 0.0758 / Low: 0.0754).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.0092
December Spread (Stable) ±0.0004

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.0012 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0012

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2019: 0.0777) against the same month in 2018 (average: 0.0851), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0074 (-8.66%).

2019 Avg (July) 0.0777
2018 Avg (July) 0.0851

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.0766 0.0746 0.0751
February 0.0776 0.0760 0.0766
March 0.0779 0.0761 0.0769
April 0.0793 0.0777 0.0784
May 0.0780 0.0771 0.0775
June 0.0779 0.0769 0.0774
July 0.0794 0.0771 0.0777
August 0.0793 0.0701 0.0765
September 0.0767 0.0753 0.0758
October 0.0760 0.0752 0.0756
November 0.0780 0.0718 0.0759
December 0.0758 0.0754 0.0756