2014 LRD to DJF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

2.2341 DJF

YEARLY LOW

1.9302 DJF

YEARLY AVERAGE

2.0261 DJF

2014 LRD to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the LRD to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 21, valuing the pair at 2.2341. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 24, dropping to 1.9302.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.3039 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2.1272 to the December average rate of 1.9494, the exchange rate registered a net change of -8.36% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 2.2341 was down 9.04% compared to the 2013 peak of 2.4561, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 LRD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 11,170 DJF

2013 Average 11,592 DJF

Yearly Trough Low 9,651 DJF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,519.50 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

2.1832

1.9281

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

LRD to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2.1012, compared to 1.9510 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1502 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2.1012

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.9510

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was June, with a trading range of 0.1797 DJF (High: 2.1487 / Low: 1.9690). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0162 DJF (High: 1.9600 / Low: 1.9438).

June Spread (Volatile) ±0.1797

September Spread (Stable) ±0.0162

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.0823 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0823

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2014: 2.1620) against the same month in 2013 (average: 2.3859), the exchange rate shifted by -0.2239 (-9.38%).

2014 Avg (March) 2.1620

2013 Avg (March) 2.3859

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	2.2092	2.0702	2.1272
February	2.0909	2.0738	2.0827
March	2.2341	2.0730	2.1620
April	2.1174	2.0711	2.0928
May	2.1980	2.0605	2.1101
June	2.1487	1.9690	2.0327
July	1.9798	1.9302	1.9503
August	1.9600	1.9321	1.9515
September	1.9600	1.9438	1.9519
October	1.9613	1.9409	1.9514
November	1.9612	1.9434	1.9514
December	1.9559	1.9396	1.9494