2018 LRD to DJF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.4692 DJF

YEARLY LOW

1.1011 DJF

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.2455 DJF

2018 LRD to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the LRD to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 1, valuing the pair at 1.4692. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 17, dropping to 1.1011.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.3681 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.4089 to the December average rate of 1.1296, the exchange rate registered a net change of -19.82% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 1.4692 was down 26.03% compared to the 2017 peak of 1.9863, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 LRD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 7,346 DJF

2017 Average 8,685 DJF

Yearly Trough Low 5,506 DJF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,840.35 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

1.4369

1.1004

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

LRD to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.3490, compared to 1.1420 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.2070 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.3490

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.1420

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was February, with a trading range of 0.1132 DJF (High: 1.4692 / Low: 1.3561). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0078 DJF (High: 1.1337 / Low: 1.1259).

February Spread (Volatile) ±0.1132

December Spread (Stable) ±0.0078

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2018. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.1038 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1038

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2018: 1.4069) against the same month in 2017 (average: 1.8989), the exchange rate shifted by -0.4920 (-25.91%).

2018 Avg (February) 1.4069

2017 Avg (February) 1.8989

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.4548	1.3815	1.4089
February	1.4692	1.3561	1.4069
March	1.3576	1.3446	1.3508
April	1.3565	1.3373	1.3493
May	1.3501	1.2877	1.3273
June	1.2870	1.1874	1.2508
July	1.1874	1.1011	1.1470
August	1.1745	1.1514	1.1602
September	1.1550	1.1166	1.1502
October	1.1443	1.1327	1.1365
November	1.1366	1.1257	1.1284
December	1.1337	1.1259	1.1296