YEARLY HIGH
2.0454 HNL
YEARLY LOW
1.5432 HNL
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.8186 HNL

2018 LSL to HNL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the LSL to HNL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 23, valuing the pair at 2.0454. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 16, dropping to 1.5432.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.5022 HNL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.9393 to the December average rate of 1.7015, the exchange rate registered a net change of -12.26% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 2.0454 was up 6.39% compared to the 2017 peak of 1.9225, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 LSL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 10,227 HNL
2017 Average 8,824 HNL
Yearly Trough Low 7,716 HNL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,510.93 HNL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

2.0310
1.5960
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

LSL to HNL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.9317, compared to 1.7056 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.2261 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.9317
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.7056

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was August, with a trading range of 0.1752 HNL (High: 1.8180 / Low: 1.6429). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0619 HNL (High: 2.0290 / Low: 1.9672).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.1752
March Spread (Stable) ±0.0619

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.0983 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0983

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2018: 1.9947) against the same month in 2017 (average: 1.7823), the exchange rate shifted by +0.2124 (+11.92%).

2018 Avg (February) 1.9947
2017 Avg (February) 1.7823

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1.9943 1.8918 1.9393
February 2.0454 1.9350 1.9947
March 2.0290 1.9672 1.9929
April 1.9996 1.8984 1.9574
May 1.9337 1.8676 1.8959
June 1.9042 1.7376 1.8100
July 1.8321 1.7336 1.7887
August 1.8180 1.6429 1.7305
September 1.7059 1.5432 1.6323
October 1.7023 1.6142 1.6575
November 1.7811 1.6727 1.7232
December 1.7727 1.6487 1.7015