2011 LVL to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

5759.8372 UGX

YEARLY LOW

4303.3969 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

4983.5812 UGX

2011 LVL to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the LVL to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 29, valuing the pair at 5759.8372. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 9, dropping to 4303.3969.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1456.4403 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4428.2410 to the December average rate of 4631.0715, the exchange rate registered a net change of 4.58% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 5759.8372 was up 24.85% compared to the 2010 peak of 4613.5246, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 LVL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 28,799,186 UGX

2010 Average 20,484,657 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 21,516,984 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 7,282,201.66 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

5681.8585

4314.2758

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

LVL to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4746.8416, compared to 5220.3208 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 473.4793 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4746.8416

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 5220.3208

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was June, with a trading range of 606.4335 UGX (High: 5468.0682 / Low: 4861.6347). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 158.6894 UGX (High: 4637.9996 / Low: 4479.3102).

June Spread (Volatile) ±606.4335

February Spread (Stable) ±158.6894

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 7 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 455.1236 points.

Longest Streak 7 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -455.1236

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2011: 5567.8933) against the same month in 2010 (average: 4077.4760), the exchange rate shifted by +1490.4173 (+36.55%).

2011 Avg (August) 5567.8933

2010 Avg (August) 4077.4760

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	4554.3671	4303.3969	4428.2410
February	4637.9996	4479.3102	4555.4563
March	4849.4617	4646.4760	4764.6987
April	5033.7257	4775.3989	4864.2709
May	5033.7257	4735.9570	4866.1562
June	5468.0682	4861.6347	5002.2263
July	5305.3346	5096.2819	5229.2491
August	5759.8372	5286.9757	5567.8933
September	5674.3150	5345.9648	5470.5476
October	5630.3091	5131.9065	5439.1436
November	5162.4154	4789.2005	4984.0199
December	4928.5965	4412.9487	4631.0715