2016 LVL to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

5576.3549 UGX

YEARLY LOW

5241.1876 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

5406.2718 UGX

2016 LVL to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the LVL to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on November 7, valuing the pair at 5576.3549. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on March 2, dropping to 5241.1876.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 335.1672 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 5404.4664 to the December average rate of 5399.2364, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.10% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 5576.3549 was down 6.31% compared to the 2015 peak of 5951.6041, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 LVL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 27,881,774 UGX

2015 Average 25,654,458 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 26,205,938 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,675,836.22 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

5518.5928

5338.0268

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

LVL to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 5395.8320, compared to 5416.7117 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 20.8798 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 5395.8320

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 5416.7117

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was December, with a trading range of 279.6568 UGX (High: 5541.9572 / Low: 5262.3004). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 52.1402 UGX (High: 5432.2459 / Low: 5380.1057).

December Spread (Volatile) ±279.6568

September Spread (Stable) ±52.1402

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 104.3092 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -104.3092

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (November 2016: 5503.5456) against the same month in 2015 (average: 5256.4509), the exchange rate shifted by +247.0947 (+4.70%).

2016 Avg (November) 5503.5456

2015 Avg (November) 5256.4509

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	5480.6125	5294.3289	5404.4664
February	5558.6975	5291.0975	5451.2295
March	5438.3044	5241.1876	5353.0739
April	5451.6189	5300.6460	5389.6668
May	5415.1391	5352.0093	5381.3152
June	5434.1419	5366.3220	5395.2398
July	5417.3481	5272.1437	5358.9208
August	5426.7737	5356.7196	5394.7209
September	5432.2459	5380.1057	5410.2520
October	5465.5094	5401.5009	5433.5947
November	5576.3549	5424.5386	5503.5456
December	5541.9572	5262.3004	5399.2364