YEARLY HIGH
2579.2568 UGX
YEARLY LOW
2408.2074 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
2474.5095 UGX

2016 LYD to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the LYD to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 24, valuing the pair at 2579.2568. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on March 6, dropping to 2408.2074.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 171.0494 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2486.7228 to the December average rate of 2514.0739, the exchange rate registered a net change of 1.10% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 2579.2568 was down 6.48% compared to the 2015 peak of 2758.0666, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 LYD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 12,896,284 UGX
2015 Average 11,915,769 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 12,041,037 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 855,246.82 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

2530.0371
2432.6272
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

LYD to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2476.8181, compared to 2472.2008 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 4.6172 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2476.8181
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2472.2008

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was May, with a trading range of 145.5879 UGX (High: 2579.2568 / Low: 2433.6689). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 21.7964 UGX (High: 2454.3123 / Low: 2432.5159).

May Spread (Volatile) ±145.5879
August Spread (Stable) ±21.7964

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 50.2084 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -50.2084

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2016: 2492.0977) against the same month in 2015 (average: 2198.8125), the exchange rate shifted by +293.2851 (+13.34%).

2016 Avg (May) 2492.0977
2015 Avg (May) 2198.8125

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 2546.1681 2438.5632 2486.7228
February 2543.0498 2419.2821 2492.5053
March 2482.1389 2408.2074 2442.2969
April 2499.8591 2435.3341 2475.9361
May 2579.2568 2433.6689 2492.0977
June 2526.9528 2449.8639 2471.3496
July 2477.2568 2417.0378 2440.7447
August 2454.3123 2432.5159 2443.0676
September 2460.1621 2437.4576 2450.2793
October 2482.0817 2450.1682 2463.1199
November 2551.1952 2470.1227 2521.9196
December 2555.1796 2472.7860 2514.0739