YEARLY HIGH
2720.2331 UGX
YEARLY LOW
2592.1184 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
2649.3381 UGX

2019 LYD to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the LYD to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 17, valuing the pair at 2720.2331. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 2, dropping to 2592.1184.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 128.1147 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2668.8452 to the December average rate of 2619.9413, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.83% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 2720.2331 was down 5.72% compared to the 2018 peak of 2885.1206, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 LYD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 13,601,166 UGX
2018 Average 13,662,354 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 12,960,592 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 640,573.64 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

2706.8098
2597.3682
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

LYD to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2673.7094, compared to 2624.9667 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 48.7427 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2673.7094
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2624.9667

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was October, with a trading range of 69.3940 UGX (High: 2661.5124 / Low: 2592.1184). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 24.5502 UGX (High: 2638.9044 / Low: 2614.3542).

October Spread (Volatile) ±69.3940
August Spread (Stable) ±24.5502

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 31.2479 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -31.2479

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2019: 2697.6897) against the same month in 2018 (average: 2751.8447), the exchange rate shifted by -54.1550 (-1.97%).

2019 Avg (May) 2697.6897
2018 Avg (May) 2751.8447

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 2689.9151 2648.4596 2668.8452
February 2671.2852 2632.1953 2646.7353
March 2682.8550 2654.7161 2669.0917
April 2700.9983 2670.7631 2686.3975
May 2720.2331 2676.7941 2697.6897
June 2699.7860 2640.8517 2673.4969
July 2668.0950 2617.8377 2642.2490
August 2638.9044 2614.3542 2627.1824
September 2629.3579 2596.5262 2606.4883
October 2661.5124 2592.1184 2621.9423
November 2647.7533 2615.2883 2631.9971
December 2634.5548 2607.0084 2619.9413