2016 MAD to ALL Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

12.9455 ALL

YEARLY LOW

12.4462 ALL

YEARLY AVERAGE

12.6609 ALL

2016 MAD to ALL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the MAD to ALL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 4, valuing the pair at 12.9455. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 16, dropping to 12.4462.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.4993 ALL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 12.8304 to the December average rate of 12.6820, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.16% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 12.9455 was down 2.30% compared to the 2015 peak of 13.2500, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MAD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 64,727 ALL

2015 Average 64,571 ALL

Yearly Trough Low 62,231 ALL

Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,496.35 ALL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

12.8600

12.5054

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MAD to ALL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 12.7126, compared to 12.6091 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1034 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 12.7126

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 12.6091

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was February, with a trading range of 0.2504 ALL (High: 12.9455 / Low: 12.6951). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0988 ALL (High: 12.6674 / Low: 12.5686).

February Spread (Volatile) ±0.2504

October Spread (Stable) ±0.0988

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0752 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0752

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2016: 12.7552) against the same month in 2015 (average: 12.9437), the exchange rate shifted by -0.1885 (-1.46%).

2016 Avg (February) 12.7552

2015 Avg (February) 12.9437

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	12.9274	12.7114	12.8304
February	12.9455	12.6951	12.7552
March	12.8477	12.6467	12.7279
April	12.7368	12.5816	12.6646
May	12.7500	12.5684	12.6485
June	12.7573	12.5382	12.6487
July	12.6617	12.5083	12.5809
August	12.6387	12.4462	12.5349
September	12.6541	12.5499	12.5923
October	12.6674	12.5686	12.6183
November	12.7275	12.5270	12.6465
December	12.7816	12.6077	12.6820