YEARLY HIGH
4.4763 GMD
YEARLY LOW
3.9594 GMD
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.2839 GMD

2016 MAD to GMD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the MAD to GMD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 2, valuing the pair at 4.4763. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on March 1, dropping to 3.9594.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.5169 GMD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.9877 to the December average rate of 4.2335, the exchange rate registered a net change of 6.16% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 4.4763 was down 5.46% compared to the 2015 peak of 4.7346, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MAD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 22,381 GMD
2015 Average 21,140 GMD
Yearly Trough Low 19,797 GMD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,584.32 GMD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

4.4633
3.9444
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MAD to GMD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.2370, compared to 4.3308 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0938 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.2370
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.3308

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was March, with a trading range of 0.4737 GMD (High: 4.4331 / Low: 3.9594). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0423 GMD (High: 4.4081 / Low: 4.3658).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.4737
September Spread (Stable) ±0.0423

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.0587 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0587

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2016: 4.4201) against the same month in 2015 (average: 4.4237), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0036 (-0.08%).

2016 Avg (May) 4.4201
2015 Avg (May) 4.4237

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4.0209 3.9643 3.9877
February 4.0855 3.9862 4.0374
March 4.4331 3.9594 4.1630
April 4.4455 4.3902 4.4178
May 4.4763 4.3628 4.4201
June 4.4477 4.3544 4.3958
July 4.3817 4.3318 4.3533
August 4.4284 4.3431 4.3849
September 4.4081 4.3658 4.3831
October 4.3925 4.3001 4.3443
November 4.3707 4.2078 4.2856
December 4.3147 4.1800 4.2335