YEARLY HIGH
4.3400 AFN
YEARLY LOW
3.7052 AFN
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.0756 AFN

2014 MDL to AFN Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the MDL to AFN exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 8, valuing the pair at 4.3400. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 23, dropping to 3.7052.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.6348 AFN. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.2693 to the December average rate of 3.7602, the exchange rate registered a net change of -11.93% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 4.3400 was down 6.40% compared to the 2013 peak of 4.6369, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MDL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 21,700 AFN
2013 Average 21,836 AFN
Yearly Trough Low 18,526 AFN
Transaction Impact: A difference of 3,173.94 AFN purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

4.3202
3.7093
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MDL to AFN Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.2105, compared to 3.9407 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.2697 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.2105
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3.9407

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was December, with a trading range of 0.1500 AFN (High: 3.8552 / Low: 3.7052). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0867 AFN (High: 4.2528 / Low: 4.1660).

December Spread (Volatile) ±0.1500
February Spread (Stable) ±0.0867

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.1037 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1037

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2014: 4.2693) against the same month in 2013 (average: 4.2374), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0319 (+0.75%).

2014 Avg (January) 4.2693
2013 Avg (January) 4.2374

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4.3400 4.1981 4.2693
February 4.2528 4.1660 4.2022
March 4.2875 4.1662 4.2381
April 4.2810 4.1856 4.2412
May 4.2392 4.1241 4.1868
June 4.2051 4.0877 4.1252
July 4.1389 4.0035 4.0736
August 4.1317 4.0161 4.0721
September 4.0147 3.9197 3.9683
October 3.9699 3.8594 3.9097
November 3.9127 3.8165 3.8605
December 3.8552 3.7052 3.7602