YEARLY HIGH
4.5192 AFN
YEARLY LOW
3.7589 AFN
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.3077 AFN

2018 MDL to AFN Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the MDL to AFN exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 14, valuing the pair at 4.5192. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 18, dropping to 3.7589.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.7603 AFN. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.1180 to the December average rate of 4.4016, the exchange rate registered a net change of 6.89% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 4.5192 was up 10.72% compared to the 2017 peak of 4.0818, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MDL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 22,596 AFN
2017 Average 18,480 AFN
Yearly Trough Low 18,795 AFN
Transaction Impact: A difference of 3,801.37 AFN purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

4.4965
4.0836
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MDL to AFN Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.2066, compared to 4.4089 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.2023 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.2066
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.4089

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was November, with a trading range of 0.7217 AFN (High: 4.4806 / Low: 3.7589). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0677 AFN (High: 4.2217 / Low: 4.1539).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.7217
March Spread (Stable) ±0.0677

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.0500 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0500

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2018: 4.4621) against the same month in 2017 (average: 3.8807), the exchange rate shifted by +0.5814 (+14.98%).

2018 Avg (September) 4.4621
2017 Avg (September) 3.8807

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4.1680 4.0523 4.1180
February 4.2002 4.1237 4.1594
March 4.2217 4.1539 4.1920
April 4.2914 4.2017 4.2545
May 4.3158 4.2053 4.2615
June 4.3398 4.2090 4.2540
July 4.4141 4.2932 4.3610
August 4.3988 4.3265 4.3730
September 4.5192 4.3835 4.4621
October 4.5049 4.3850 4.4528
November 4.4806 3.7589 4.4028
December 4.4528 4.3525 4.4016