YEARLY HIGH
0.8010 ARS
YEARLY LOW
0.6456 ARS
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.7423 ARS

2016 MDL to ARS Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the MDL to ARS exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 29, valuing the pair at 0.8010. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 17, dropping to 0.6456.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1553 ARS. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.6672 to the December average rate of 0.7873, the exchange rate registered a net change of 17.99% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.8010 was up 17.81% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.6799, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MDL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 4,005 ARS
2015 Average 2,470 ARS
Yearly Trough Low 3,228 ARS
Transaction Impact: A difference of 776.70 ARS purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.7993
0.6552
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MDL to ARS Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.7200, compared to 0.7646 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0446 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.7200
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.7646

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was February, with a trading range of 0.0956 ARS (High: 0.7883 / Low: 0.6927). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0184 ARS (High: 0.7626 / Low: 0.7442).

February Spread (Volatile) ±0.0956
August Spread (Stable) ±0.0184

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and March, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.0213 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0213

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2016: 0.7873) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.5753), the exchange rate shifted by +0.2120 (+36.85%).

2016 Avg (December) 0.7873
2015 Avg (December) 0.5753

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.6895 0.6456 0.6672
February 0.7883 0.6927 0.7369
March 0.7861 0.7365 0.7541
April 0.7572 0.7136 0.7329
May 0.7242 0.6953 0.7132
June 0.7701 0.6941 0.7155
July 0.7626 0.7370 0.7534
August 0.7626 0.7442 0.7526
September 0.7779 0.7561 0.7648
October 0.7783 0.7559 0.7645
November 0.7790 0.7547 0.7647
December 0.8010 0.7675 0.7873