YEARLY HIGH
3.4915 ARS
YEARLY LOW
2.1610 ARS
YEARLY AVERAGE
2.7476 ARS

2019 MDL to ARS Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the MDL to ARS exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 30, valuing the pair at 3.4915. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 7, dropping to 2.1610.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.3305 ARS. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2.1822 to the December average rate of 3.4645, the exchange rate registered a net change of 58.76% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 3.4915 was up 43.00% compared to the 2018 peak of 2.4416, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MDL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 17,457 ARS
2018 Average 8,344 ARS
Yearly Trough Low 10,805 ARS
Transaction Impact: A difference of 6,652.26 ARS purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

3.5927
2.0540
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MDL to ARS Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2.3635, compared to 3.1317 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.7682 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2.3635
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3.1317

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was August, with a trading range of 0.9738 ARS (High: 3.4585 / Low: 2.4847). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0496 ARS (High: 3.4462 / Low: 3.3966).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.9738
November Spread (Stable) ±0.0496

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.0891 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0891

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2019: 3.4645) against the same month in 2018 (average: 2.2011), the exchange rate shifted by +1.2633 (+57.39%).

2019 Avg (December) 3.4645
2018 Avg (December) 2.2011

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 2.2109 2.1610 2.1822
February 2.3205 2.1761 2.2437
March 2.5385 2.3200 2.4036
April 2.5725 2.3270 2.4411
May 2.5363 2.4515 2.4997
June 2.4857 2.3368 2.4106
July 2.4763 2.3273 2.3963
August 3.4585 2.4847 2.9566
September 3.3492 3.0933 3.1976
October 3.4668 3.2509 3.3482
November 3.4462 3.3966 3.4267
December 3.4915 3.4132 3.4645