2015 MDL to AZN Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.0796 AZN

YEARLY LOW

0.0414 AZN

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.0544 AZN

2015 MDL to AZN Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2015

During 2015, the MDL to AZN exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 27, valuing the pair at 0.0796. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 21, dropping to 0.0414.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0381 AZN. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0472 to the December average rate of 0.0599, the exchange rate registered a net change of 26.83% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2015 high of 0.0796 was up 31.53% compared to the 2014 peak of 0.0605, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MDL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 398 AZN

2014 Average 280 AZN

Yearly Trough Low 207 AZN

Transaction Impact: A difference of 190.65 AZN purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2015.

0.0613

0.0438

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MDL to AZN Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0539, compared to 0.0548 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0010 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0539

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0548

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2015 was December, with a trading range of 0.0270 AZN (High: 0.0796 / Low: 0.0526). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0009 AZN (High: 0.0529 / Low: 0.0520).

December Spread (Volatile) ±0.0270

November Spread (Stable) ±0.0009

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.0020 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0020

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2015: 0.0599) against the same month in 2014 (average: 0.0508), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0090 (+17.73%).

2015 Avg (December) 0.0599

2014 Avg (December) 0.0508

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.0502	0.0436	0.0472
February	0.0569	0.0414	0.0453
March	0.0582	0.0562	0.0571
April	0.0601	0.0569	0.0584
May	0.0594	0.0579	0.0586
June	0.0582	0.0549	0.0568
July	0.0561	0.0549	0.0555
August	0.0561	0.0548	0.0553
September	0.0546	0.0518	0.0533
October	0.0534	0.0521	0.0526
November	0.0529	0.0520	0.0525
December	0.0796	0.0526	0.0599