2016 MDL to AZN Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.0904 AZN

YEARLY LOW

0.0742 AZN

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.0807 AZN

2016 MDL to AZN Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the MDL to AZN exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 29, valuing the pair at 0.0904. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 26, dropping to 0.0742.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0162 AZN. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0779 to the December average rate of 0.0881, the exchange rate registered a net change of 13.01% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.0904 was up 13.69% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.0796, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MDL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 452 AZN

2015 Average 272 AZN

Yearly Trough Low 371 AZN

Transaction Impact: A difference of 81.07 AZN purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.0893

0.0746

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MDL to AZN Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0781, compared to 0.0833 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0052 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0781

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0833

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was March, with a trading range of 0.0058 AZN (High: 0.0837 / Low: 0.0778). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0016 AZN (High: 0.0841 / Low: 0.0825).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.0058

September Spread (Stable) ±0.0016

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.0045 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0045

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2016: 0.0881) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.0599), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0282 (+47.16%).

2016 Avg (December) 0.0881

2015 Avg (December) 0.0599

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.0796	0.0761	0.0779
February	0.0797	0.0777	0.0788
March	0.0837	0.0778	0.0817
April	0.0781	0.0761	0.0772
May	0.0767	0.0742	0.0758
June	0.0786	0.0749	0.0769
July	0.0812	0.0782	0.0792
August	0.0839	0.0809	0.0824
September	0.0841	0.0825	0.0833
October	0.0829	0.0804	0.0815
November	0.0862	0.0826	0.0851
December	0.0904	0.0864	0.0881