2016 MDL to EGP Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.9729 EGP

YEARLY LOW

0.3797 EGP

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.5032 EGP

2016 MDL to EGP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the MDL to EGP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 20, valuing the pair at 0.9729. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 25, dropping to 0.3797.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.5932 EGP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.3853 to the December average rate of 0.9148, the exchange rate registered a net change of 137.44% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.9729 was up 112.19% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.4585, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MDL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 4,865 EGP

2015 Average 2,058 EGP

Yearly Trough Low 1,898 EGP

Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,966.15 EGP purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.9678

0.3323

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MDL to EGP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.4250, compared to 0.5814 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.1564 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.4250

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.5814

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 0.4563 EGP (High: 0.9000 / Low: 0.4437). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0024 EGP (High: 0.4509 / Low: 0.4485).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.4563

September Spread (Stable) ±0.0024

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.0036 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0036

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2016: 0.9148) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.3970), the exchange rate shifted by +0.5178 (+130.43%).

2016 Avg (December) 0.9148

2015 Avg (December) 0.3970

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.3972	0.3797	0.3853
February	0.3934	0.3856	0.3902
March	0.4544	0.3911	0.4255
April	0.4547	0.4500	0.4520
May	0.4518	0.4436	0.4484
June	0.4522	0.4446	0.4489
July	0.4520	0.4471	0.4491
August	0.4511	0.4484	0.4502
September	0.4509	0.4485	0.4497
October	0.4516	0.4425	0.4470
November	0.9000	0.4437	0.7777
December	0.9729	0.8813	0.9148