YEARLY HIGH
1.0832 EGP
YEARLY LOW
1.0306 EGP
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.0599 EGP

2018 MDL to EGP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the MDL to EGP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 13, valuing the pair at 1.0832. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 10, dropping to 1.0306.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0526 EGP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.0445 to the December average rate of 1.0429, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.16% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 1.0832 was up 3.62% compared to the 2017 peak of 1.0453, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MDL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 5,416 EGP
2017 Average 4,848 EGP
Yearly Trough Low 5,153 EGP
Transaction Impact: A difference of 262.86 EGP purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

1.0778
1.0397
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MDL to EGP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.0613, compared to 1.0585 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0029 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.0613
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.0585

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was January, with a trading range of 0.0306 EGP (High: 1.0612 / Low: 1.0306). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0135 EGP (High: 1.0538 / Low: 1.0403).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.0306
November Spread (Stable) ±0.0135

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.0116 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0116

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2018: 1.0747) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.9934), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0812 (+8.18%).

2018 Avg (August) 1.0747
2017 Avg (August) 0.9934

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1.0612 1.0306 1.0445
February 1.0676 1.0468 1.0598
March 1.0723 1.0546 1.0638
April 1.0811 1.0649 1.0742
May 1.0805 1.0526 1.0668
June 1.0657 1.0517 1.0588
July 1.0795 1.0594 1.0704
August 1.0832 1.0619 1.0747
September 1.0745 1.0531 1.0642
October 1.0609 1.0402 1.0527
November 1.0538 1.0403 1.0459
December 1.0564 1.0350 1.0429