2016 MDL to GEL Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.1386 GEL

YEARLY LOW

0.1072 GEL

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.1189 GEL

2016 MDL to GEL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the MDL to GEL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 21, valuing the pair at 0.1386. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 26, dropping to 0.1072.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0314 GEL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.1199 to the December average rate of 0.1319, the exchange rate registered a net change of 10.02% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.1386 was up 3.80% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.1335, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MDL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 693 GEL

2015 Average 588 GEL

Yearly Trough Low 536 GEL

Transaction Impact: A difference of 157.18 GEL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.1340

0.1080

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MDL to GEL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.1166, compared to 0.1211 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0045 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.1166

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.1211

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was December, with a trading range of 0.0121 GEL (High: 0.1386 / Low: 0.1265). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0018 GEL (High: 0.1195 / Low: 0.1177).

December Spread (Volatile) ±0.0121

October Spread (Stable) ±0.0018

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.0053 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0053

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2016: 0.1319) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.1214), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0105 (+8.62%).

2016 Avg (December) 0.1319

2015 Avg (December) 0.1214

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.1216	0.1173	0.1199
February	0.1253	0.1218	0.1237
March	0.1240	0.1161	0.1202
April	0.1178	0.1128	0.1149
May	0.1129	0.1072	0.1102
June	0.1190	0.1076	0.1109
July	0.1197	0.1169	0.1184
August	0.1194	0.1152	0.1175
September	0.1184	0.1158	0.1170
October	0.1195	0.1177	0.1186
November	0.1257	0.1196	0.1232
December	0.1386	0.1265	0.1319