2016 MDL to MAD Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.5129 MAD

YEARLY LOW

0.4800 MAD

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.4930 MAD

2016 MDL to MAD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the MDL to MAD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 28, valuing the pair at 0.5129. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 16, dropping to 0.4800.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0329 MAD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.4874 to the December average rate of 0.5026, the exchange rate registered a net change of 3.12% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.5129 was down 13.16% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.5906, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MDL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,564 MAD

2015 Average 2,604 MAD

Yearly Trough Low 2,400 MAD

Transaction Impact: A difference of 164.33 MAD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.5042

0.4855

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MDL to MAD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.4899, compared to 0.4960 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0061 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.4899

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.4960

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was January, with a trading range of 0.0224 MAD (High: 0.5025 / Low: 0.4800). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0037 MAD (High: 0.4943 / Low: 0.4906).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.0224

September Spread (Stable) ±0.0037

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.0031 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0031

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2016: 0.5026) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.5018), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0009 (+0.17%).

2016 Avg (December) 0.5026

2015 Avg (December) 0.5018

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.5025	0.4800	0.4874
February	0.4937	0.4814	0.4870
March	0.4981	0.4884	0.4937
April	0.4938	0.4865	0.4916
May	0.4917	0.4828	0.4885
June	0.4976	0.4868	0.4912
July	0.4992	0.4920	0.4960
August	0.4968	0.4884	0.4934
September	0.4943	0.4906	0.4926
October	0.4985	0.4921	0.4946
November	0.5000	0.4903	0.4970
December	0.5129	0.4946	0.5026