YEARLY HIGH
0.2193 RON
YEARLY LOW
0.1968 RON
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.2041 RON

2016 MDL to RON Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the MDL to RON exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 28, valuing the pair at 0.2193. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 2, dropping to 0.1968.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0226 RON. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.2052 to the December average rate of 0.2131, the exchange rate registered a net change of 3.83% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.2193 was down 9.56% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.2425, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MDL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,097 RON
2015 Average 1,070 RON
Yearly Trough Low 984 RON
Transaction Impact: A difference of 112.80 RON purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.2143
0.1996
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MDL to RON Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.2025, compared to 0.2057 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0033 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.2025
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.2057

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was December, with a trading range of 0.0119 RON (High: 0.2193 / Low: 0.2074). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0020 RON (High: 0.2022 / Low: 0.2002).

December Spread (Volatile) ±0.0119
September Spread (Stable) ±0.0020

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0041 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0041

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2016: 0.2131) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.2097), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0034 (+1.61%).

2016 Avg (December) 0.2131
2015 Avg (December) 0.2097

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.2111 0.2022 0.2052
February 0.2050 0.1985 0.2011
March 0.2054 0.2007 0.2030
April 0.2026 0.1983 0.2008
May 0.2037 0.1968 0.2011
June 0.2080 0.2004 0.2035
July 0.2063 0.2028 0.2049
August 0.2036 0.1999 0.2018
September 0.2022 0.2002 0.2011
October 0.2079 0.2007 0.2050
November 0.2114 0.2034 0.2084
December 0.2193 0.2074 0.2131