YEARLY HIGH
0.2638 RON
YEARLY LOW
0.2503 RON
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.2572 RON

2026 MDL to RON Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2026

During 2026, the MDL to RON exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 6, valuing the pair at 0.2638. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on March 31, dropping to 0.2503.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0135 RON. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.2572 to the December average rate of 0.2609, the exchange rate registered a net change of 1.43% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2026 high of 0.2638 was down 1.20% compared to the 2025 peak of 0.2669, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MDL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,319 RON
2025 Average 1,290 RON
Yearly Trough Low 1,251 RON
Transaction Impact: A difference of 67.38 RON purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2026.

0.2622
0.2516
JanuMarcMayJuly

MDL to RON Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.2566, compared to 0.2609 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0043 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.2566
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.2609

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2026 was January, with a trading range of 0.0090 RON (High: 0.2614 / Low: 0.2524). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0028 RON (High: 0.2616 / Low: 0.2588).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.0090
May Spread (Stable) ±0.0028

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0030 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0030

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2026: 0.2613) against the same month in 2025 (average: 0.2561), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0051 (+2.00%).

2026 Avg (June) 0.2613
2025 Avg (June) 0.2561

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.2614 0.2524 0.2572
February 0.2571 0.2517 0.2542
March 0.2580 0.2503 0.2540
April 0.2547 0.2503 0.2525
May 0.2616 0.2588 0.2607
June 0.2638 0.2593 0.2613
July 0.2629 0.2595 0.2609