YEARLY HIGH
0.0409 KES
YEARLY LOW
0.0368 KES
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.0386 KES

2012 MGA to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the MGA to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 30, valuing the pair at 0.0409. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 23, dropping to 0.0368.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0041 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0388 to the December average rate of 0.0381, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.83% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 0.0409 was down 19.83% compared to the 2011 peak of 0.0510, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MGA based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 204 KES
2011 Average 220 KES
Yearly Trough Low 184 KES
Transaction Impact: A difference of 20.56 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

0.0407
0.0371
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MGA to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0392, compared to 0.0380 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0012 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0392
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0380

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was June, with a trading range of 0.0022 KES (High: 0.0407 / Low: 0.0385). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0005 KES (High: 0.0383 / Low: 0.0379).

June Spread (Volatile) ±0.0022
December Spread (Stable) ±0.0005

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.0022 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0022

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2012: 0.0404) against the same month in 2011 (average: 0.0435), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0031 (-7.11%).

2012 Avg (May) 0.0404
2011 Avg (May) 0.0435

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.0393 0.0381 0.0388
February 0.0389 0.0379 0.0382
March 0.0394 0.0381 0.0387
April 0.0401 0.0393 0.0395
May 0.0409 0.0396 0.0404
June 0.0407 0.0385 0.0396
July 0.0386 0.0368 0.0374
August 0.0376 0.0371 0.0374
September 0.0388 0.0375 0.0382
October 0.0390 0.0385 0.0387
November 0.0386 0.0379 0.0382
December 0.0383 0.0379 0.0381