2016 MGA to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.0345 KES

YEARLY LOW

0.0302 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.0320 KES

2016 MGA to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the MGA to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 29, valuing the pair at 0.0345. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 29, dropping to 0.0302.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0043 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0319 to the December average rate of 0.0306, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.87% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.0345 was down 2.59% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.0355, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MGA based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 173 KES

2015 Average 159 KES

Yearly Trough Low 151 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 21.59 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.0339

0.0303

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MGA to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0317, compared to 0.0323 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0006 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0317

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0323

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was July, with a trading range of 0.0032 KES (High: 0.0345 / Low: 0.0314). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0002 KES (High: 0.0319 / Low: 0.0317).

July Spread (Volatile) ±0.0032

April Spread (Stable) ±0.0002

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between June and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.0013 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0013

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2016: 0.0329) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.0309), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0021 (+6.77%).

2016 Avg (July) 0.0329

2015 Avg (July) 0.0309

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.0320	0.0317	0.0319
February	0.0323	0.0318	0.0320
March	0.0319	0.0312	0.0316
April	0.0319	0.0317	0.0318
May	0.0321	0.0310	0.0317
June	0.0312	0.0308	0.0310
July	0.0345	0.0314	0.0329
August	0.0343	0.0332	0.0336
September	0.0334	0.0326	0.0332
October	0.0326	0.0315	0.0319
November	0.0323	0.0306	0.0314
December	0.0310	0.0302	0.0306