YEARLY HIGH
3.3062 DJF
YEARLY LOW
3.0141 DJF
YEARLY AVERAGE
3.1944 DJF

2016 MKD to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the MKD to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 4, valuing the pair at 3.3062. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 28, dropping to 3.0141.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2921 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.1353 to the December average rate of 3.0568, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.50% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 3.3062 was down 6.42% compared to the 2015 peak of 3.5332, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MKD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 16,531 DJF
2015 Average 16,032 DJF
Yearly Trough Low 15,071 DJF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,460.41 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

3.2853
3.0360
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MKD to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3.2192, compared to 3.1696 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0495 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3.2192
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3.1696

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 0.1676 DJF (High: 3.2239 / Low: 3.0562). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0300 DJF (High: 3.2446 / Low: 3.2147).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.1676
September Spread (Stable) ±0.0300

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.0671 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0671

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2016: 3.2536) against the same month in 2015 (average: 3.2157), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0379 (+1.18%).

2016 Avg (May) 3.2536
2015 Avg (May) 3.2157

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 3.1524 3.1083 3.1353
February 3.2621 3.1398 3.2036
March 3.2796 3.1353 3.2120
April 3.2911 3.2395 3.2645
May 3.3062 3.2104 3.2536
June 3.2895 3.1861 3.2460
July 3.2166 3.1588 3.1907
August 3.2661 3.1862 3.2287
September 3.2446 3.2147 3.2299
October 3.2475 3.1429 3.1877
November 3.2239 3.0562 3.1239
December 3.1125 3.0141 3.0568