YEARLY HIGH
3.6260 DJF
YEARLY LOW
3.2587 DJF
YEARLY AVERAGE
3.4125 DJF

2018 MKD to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the MKD to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 1, valuing the pair at 3.6260. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 13, dropping to 3.2587.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.3672 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.5406 to the December average rate of 3.2905, the exchange rate registered a net change of -7.07% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 3.6260 was up 3.78% compared to the 2017 peak of 3.4939, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MKD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 18,130 DJF
2017 Average 16,401 DJF
Yearly Trough Low 16,294 DJF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,836.08 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

3.5869
3.2621
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MKD to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3.4945, compared to 3.3306 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1639 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3.4945
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3.3306

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was January, with a trading range of 0.1326 DJF (High: 3.6000 / Low: 3.4674). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0405 DJF (High: 3.3986 / Low: 3.3581).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.1326
July Spread (Stable) ±0.0405

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2018. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.1147 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1147

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2018: 3.5598) against the same month in 2017 (average: 3.0911), the exchange rate shifted by +0.4688 (+15.17%).

2018 Avg (February) 3.5598
2017 Avg (February) 3.0911

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 3.6000 3.4674 3.5406
February 3.6260 3.5046 3.5598
March 3.5813 3.5229 3.5464
April 3.5584 3.4700 3.5254
May 3.4675 3.3364 3.4107
June 3.4201 3.3425 3.3842
July 3.3986 3.3581 3.3777
August 3.3856 3.2793 3.3355
September 3.4049 3.3408 3.3692
October 3.3531 3.2733 3.3214
November 3.3151 3.2587 3.2891
December 3.3147 3.2632 3.2905