2014 MMK to DJF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.1865 DJF

YEARLY LOW

0.1696 DJF

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.1814 DJF

2014 MMK to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the MMK to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on April 18, valuing the pair at 0.1865. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 22, dropping to 0.1696.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0170 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.1807 to the December average rate of 0.1731, the exchange rate registered a net change of -4.21% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 0.1865 was down 10.36% compared to the 2013 peak of 0.2081, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MMK based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 933 DJF

2013 Average 953 DJF

Yearly Trough Low 848 DJF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 84.84 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

0.1869

0.1718

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MMK to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.1834, compared to 0.1794 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0040 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.1834

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.1794

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was November, with a trading range of 0.0092 DJF (High: 0.1788 / Low: 0.1696). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0012 DJF (High: 0.1845 / Low: 0.1833).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.0092

August Spread (Stable) ±0.0012

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.0058 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0058

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (April 2014: 0.1856) against the same month in 2013 (average: 0.2007), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0151 (-7.52%).

2014 Avg (April) 0.1856

2013 Avg (April) 0.2007

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.1814	0.1801	0.1807
February	0.1822	0.1802	0.1810
March	0.1860	0.1811	0.1837
April	0.1865	0.1842	0.1856
May	0.1863	0.1842	0.1855
June	0.1852	0.1821	0.1838
July	0.1846	0.1830	0.1837
August	0.1845	0.1833	0.1840
September	0.1844	0.1791	0.1820
October	0.1810	0.1771	0.1796
November	0.1788	0.1696	0.1738
December	0.1740	0.1723	0.1731