YEARLY HIGH
0.1528 DJF
YEARLY LOW
0.1288 DJF
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.1441 DJF

2016 MMK to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the MMK to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on April 25, valuing the pair at 0.1528. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 22, dropping to 0.1288.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0240 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.1367 to the December average rate of 0.1323, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.27% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.1528 was down 12.18% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.1740, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MMK based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 764 DJF
2015 Average 805 DJF
Yearly Trough Low 644 DJF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 119.77 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.1533
0.1303
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MMK to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.1461, compared to 0.1421 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0040 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.1461
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.1421

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was February, with a trading range of 0.0080 DJF (High: 0.1449 / Low: 0.1369). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0019 DJF (High: 0.1375 / Low: 0.1356).

February Spread (Volatile) ±0.0080
January Spread (Stable) ±0.0019

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.0049 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0049

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (April 2016: 0.1502) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.1667), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0165 (-9.88%).

2016 Avg (April) 0.1502
2015 Avg (April) 0.1667

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.1375 0.1356 0.1367
February 0.1449 0.1369 0.1426
March 0.1474 0.1431 0.1461
April 0.1528 0.1461 0.1502
May 0.1525 0.1496 0.1514
June 0.1513 0.1486 0.1497
July 0.1519 0.1491 0.1505
August 0.1501 0.1462 0.1487
September 0.1476 0.1412 0.1444
October 0.1421 0.1375 0.1395
November 0.1398 0.1352 0.1372
December 0.1356 0.1288 0.1323