YEARLY HIGH
11.6016 IDR
YEARLY LOW
9.6549 IDR
YEARLY AVERAGE
10.7875 IDR

2016 MMK to IDR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the MMK to IDR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 22, valuing the pair at 11.6016. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 19, dropping to 9.6549.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.9467 IDR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 10.6735 to the December average rate of 9.9402, the exchange rate registered a net change of -6.87% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 11.6016 was down 14.69% compared to the 2015 peak of 13.6000, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MMK based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 58,008 IDR
2015 Average 60,641 IDR
Yearly Trough Low 48,275 IDR
Transaction Impact: A difference of 9,733.54 IDR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

11.5989
9.7894
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MMK to IDR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 11.0300, compared to 10.5450 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.4850 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 11.0300
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 10.5450

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was December, with a trading range of 0.6621 IDR (High: 10.3170 / Low: 9.6549). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1760 IDR (High: 11.0940 / Low: 10.9180).

December Spread (Volatile) ±0.6621
August Spread (Stable) ±0.1760

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.4508 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.4508

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2016: 11.4481) against the same month in 2015 (average: 12.0517), the exchange rate shifted by -0.6036 (-5.01%).

2016 Avg (May) 11.4481
2015 Avg (May) 12.0517

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 10.7518 10.5443 10.6735
February 11.0073 10.5684 10.8464
March 11.0242 10.6712 10.8246
April 11.3527 10.8131 11.1370
May 11.6016 11.2551 11.4481
June 11.4961 11.1051 11.2506
July 11.2680 11.0257 11.1285
August 11.0940 10.9180 11.0285
September 10.9746 10.3374 10.6799
October 10.4115 10.0945 10.2291
November 10.3281 10.1215 10.2637
December 10.3170 9.6549 9.9402