YEARLY HIGH
10.5090 IDR
YEARLY LOW
8.8535 IDR
YEARLY AVERAGE
9.8534 IDR

2018 MMK to IDR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the MMK to IDR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 8, valuing the pair at 10.5090. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 22, dropping to 8.8535.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.6555 IDR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 9.9698 to the December average rate of 9.2689, the exchange rate registered a net change of -7.03% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 10.5090 was up 4.54% compared to the 2017 peak of 10.0525, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MMK based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 52,545 IDR
2017 Average 49,145 IDR
Yearly Trough Low 44,268 IDR
Transaction Impact: A difference of 8,277.48 IDR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

10.5157
9.0585
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MMK to IDR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 10.2317, compared to 9.4751 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.7566 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 10.2317
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 9.4751

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was October, with a trading range of 0.6997 IDR (High: 10.0424 / Low: 9.3427). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0708 IDR (High: 10.3196 / Low: 10.2488).

October Spread (Volatile) ±0.6997
March Spread (Stable) ±0.0708

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.4776 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.4776

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2018: 10.3943) against the same month in 2017 (average: 9.7725), the exchange rate shifted by +0.6217 (+6.36%).

2018 Avg (May) 10.3943
2017 Avg (May) 9.7725

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 10.0615 9.8715 9.9698
February 10.2760 10.0756 10.1897
March 10.3196 10.2488 10.2913
April 10.4433 10.2781 10.3555
May 10.5090 10.2746 10.3943
June 10.3180 10.0217 10.1896
July 10.1328 9.7993 9.9894
August 9.8023 9.2673 9.5651
September 9.4743 8.8535 9.1897
October 10.0424 9.3427 9.6575
November 9.4072 9.0251 9.1799
December 9.4291 8.9899 9.2689