2016 MOP to ALL Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

16.1970 ALL

YEARLY LOW

15.0488 ALL

YEARLY AVERAGE

15.5229 ALL

2016 MOP to ALL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the MOP to ALL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 20, valuing the pair at 16.1970. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 3, dropping to 15.0488.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.1482 ALL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 15.8558 to the December average rate of 16.0448, the exchange rate registered a net change of 1.19% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 16.1970 was down 2.62% compared to the 2015 peak of 16.6320, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 80,985 ALL

2015 Average 78,853 ALL

Yearly Trough Low 75,244 ALL

Transaction Impact: A difference of 5,741.07 ALL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

16.1231

15.1834

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to ALL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 15.4883, compared to 15.5575 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0691 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 15.4883

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 15.5575

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 0.6872 ALL (High: 16.0645 / Low: 15.3773). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1477 ALL (High: 15.4093 / Low: 15.2617).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.6872

September Spread (Stable) ±0.1477

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.2975 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2975

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2016: 16.0448) against the same month in 2015 (average: 15.8528), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1920 (+1.21%).

2016 Avg (December) 16.0448

2015 Avg (December) 15.8528

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	16.0078	15.7501	15.8558
February	15.8625	15.3160	15.5583
March	15.8411	15.2962	15.5455
April	15.4578	15.1753	15.3090
May	15.5082	15.0488	15.2991
June	15.5867	15.1732	15.3624
July	15.5156	15.3290	15.4369
August	15.4453	15.1036	15.2617
September	15.4093	15.2617	15.3188
October	15.6578	15.2986	15.5137
November	16.0645	15.3773	15.7690
December	16.1970	15.8326	16.0448