2018 MOP to ALL Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

13.8851 ALL

YEARLY LOW

12.9108 ALL

YEARLY AVERAGE

13.3862 ALL

2018 MOP to ALL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the MOP to ALL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 9, valuing the pair at 13.8851. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on April 16, dropping to 12.9108.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.9743 ALL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 13.5949 to the December average rate of 13.4658, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.95% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 13.8851 was down 14.98% compared to the 2017 peak of 16.3306, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 69,426 ALL

2017 Average 74,148 ALL

Yearly Trough Low 64,554 ALL

Transaction Impact: A difference of 4,871.57 ALL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

13.6593

12.9784

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to ALL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 13.2990, compared to 13.4734 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.1743 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 13.2990

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 13.4734

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was January, with a trading range of 0.5650 ALL (High: 13.8851 / Low: 13.3201). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1417 ALL (High: 13.4102 / Low: 13.2684).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.5650

July Spread (Stable) ±0.1417

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.2554 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2554

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 13.5949) against the same month in 2017 (average: 16.0581), the exchange rate shifted by -2.4632 (-15.34%).

2018 Avg (January) 13.5949

2017 Avg (January) 16.0581

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	13.8851	13.3201	13.5949
February	13.5331	13.1610	13.3395
March	13.4125	13.0048	13.1750
April	13.1690	12.9108	13.0351
May	13.5326	13.1290	13.2835
June	13.4935	13.0268	13.3662
July	13.4102	13.2684	13.3386
August	13.7071	13.2983	13.4783
September	13.5192	13.3577	13.4499
October	13.6413	13.4009	13.5050
November	13.7057	13.4933	13.6025
December	13.6022	13.3008	13.4658