YEARLY HIGH
13.8851 ALL
YEARLY LOW
12.9108 ALL
YEARLY AVERAGE
13.3862 ALL

2018 MOP to ALL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the MOP to ALL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 9, valuing the pair at 13.8851. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on April 16, dropping to 12.9108.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.9743 ALL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 13.5949 to the December average rate of 13.4658, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.95% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 13.8851 was down 14.98% compared to the 2017 peak of 16.3306, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 69,426 ALL
2017 Average 74,148 ALL
Yearly Trough Low 64,554 ALL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 4,871.57 ALL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

13.6593
12.9784
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to ALL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 13.2990, compared to 13.4734 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.1743 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 13.2990
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 13.4734

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was January, with a trading range of 0.5650 ALL (High: 13.8851 / Low: 13.3201). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1417 ALL (High: 13.4102 / Low: 13.2684).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.5650
July Spread (Stable) ±0.1417

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.2554 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2554

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 13.5949) against the same month in 2017 (average: 16.0581), the exchange rate shifted by -2.4632 (-15.34%).

2018 Avg (January) 13.5949
2017 Avg (January) 16.0581

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 13.8851 13.3201 13.5949
February 13.5331 13.1610 13.3395
March 13.4125 13.0048 13.1750
April 13.1690 12.9108 13.0351
May 13.5326 13.1290 13.2835
June 13.4935 13.0268 13.3662
July 13.4102 13.2684 13.3386
August 13.7071 13.2983 13.4783
September 13.5192 13.3577 13.4499
October 13.6413 13.4009 13.5050
November 13.7057 13.4933 13.6025
December 13.6022 13.3008 13.4658