YEARLY HIGH
5.1204 ARS
YEARLY LOW
2.2848 ARS
YEARLY AVERAGE
3.4762 ARS

2018 MOP to ARS Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the MOP to ARS exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 30, valuing the pair at 5.1204. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 2, dropping to 2.2848.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.8356 ARS. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2.3601 to the December average rate of 4.6909, the exchange rate registered a net change of 98.76% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 5.1204 was up 114.84% compared to the 2017 peak of 2.3833, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 25,602 ARS
2017 Average 10,317 ARS
Yearly Trough Low 11,424 ARS
Transaction Impact: A difference of 14,178.19 ARS purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

5.0188
2.1184
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to ARS Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2.6730, compared to 4.2794 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 1.6064 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2.6730
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.2794

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was August, with a trading range of 1.4180 ARS (High: 4.7909 / Low: 3.3729). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0348 ARS (High: 2.5247 / Low: 2.4898).

August Spread (Volatile) ±1.4180
March Spread (Stable) ±0.0348

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 8 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.1906 points.

Longest Streak 8 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1906

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2018: 4.7771) against the same month in 2017 (average: 2.1393), the exchange rate shifted by +2.6378 (+123.30%).

2018 Avg (September) 4.7771
2017 Avg (September) 2.1393

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 2.4405 2.2848 2.3601
February 2.5084 2.4043 2.4608
March 2.5247 2.4898 2.5035
April 2.5416 2.4899 2.5042
May 3.0934 2.5551 2.9129
June 3.5766 3.0803 3.2964
July 3.5843 3.3643 3.4168
August 4.7909 3.3729 3.6947
September 5.1204 4.5551 4.7771
October 4.8965 4.4328 4.5865
November 4.8505 4.3857 4.5103
December 4.7589 4.5346 4.6909