YEARLY HIGH
7.4726 ARS
YEARLY LOW
4.5699 ARS
YEARLY AVERAGE
5.9661 ARS

2019 MOP to ARS Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the MOP to ARS exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 23, valuing the pair at 7.4726. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 12, dropping to 4.5699.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.9027 ARS. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.6262 to the December average rate of 7.4414, the exchange rate registered a net change of 60.85% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 7.4726 was up 45.94% compared to the 2018 peak of 5.1204, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 37,363 ARS
2018 Average 17,406 ARS
Yearly Trough Low 22,849 ARS
Transaction Impact: A difference of 14,513.44 ARS purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

7.7229
4.3447
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to ARS Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 5.1292, compared to 6.8031 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 1.6740 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 5.1292
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 6.8031

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was August, with a trading range of 1.9602 ARS (High: 7.4549 / Low: 5.4947). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0626 ARS (High: 7.4726 / Low: 7.4100).

August Spread (Volatile) ±1.9602
December Spread (Stable) ±0.0626

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.1494 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1494

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2019: 7.4414) against the same month in 2018 (average: 4.6909), the exchange rate shifted by +2.7505 (+58.63%).

2019 Avg (December) 7.4414
2018 Avg (December) 4.6909

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4.6803 4.5699 4.6262
February 4.9043 4.5951 4.7430
March 5.4258 4.9249 5.1071
April 5.6704 5.1447 5.3310
May 5.6004 5.4932 5.5476
June 5.5606 5.2668 5.4200
July 5.4441 5.1541 5.2706
August 7.4549 5.4947 6.4554
September 7.3669 6.8441 7.0127
October 7.4204 7.1311 7.2380
November 7.4363 7.3694 7.4006
December 7.4726 7.4100 7.4414