YEARLY HIGH
10.5598 BDT
YEARLY LOW
10.2458 BDT
YEARLY AVERAGE
10.3902 BDT

2018 MOP to BDT Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the MOP to BDT exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 25, valuing the pair at 10.5598. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 11, dropping to 10.2458.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.3140 BDT. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 10.3116 to the December average rate of 10.4059, the exchange rate registered a net change of 0.91% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 10.5598 was down 0.00% compared to the 2017 peak of 10.5600, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 52,799 BDT
2017 Average 50,593 BDT
Yearly Trough Low 51,229 BDT
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,569.79 BDT purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

10.4914
10.2743
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to BDT Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 10.3676, compared to 10.4128 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0452 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 10.3676
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 10.4128

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was April, with a trading range of 0.2118 BDT (High: 10.4666 / Low: 10.2548). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0428 BDT (High: 10.4971 / Low: 10.4543).

April Spread (Volatile) ±0.2118
May Spread (Stable) ±0.0428

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.0604 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0604

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2018: 10.4536) against the same month in 2017 (average: 10.2284), the exchange rate shifted by +0.2252 (+2.20%).

2018 Avg (October) 10.4536
2017 Avg (October) 10.2284

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 10.3459 10.2458 10.3116
February 10.3561 10.2882 10.3252
March 10.3966 10.2611 10.2924
April 10.4666 10.2548 10.3431
May 10.4971 10.4543 10.4733
June 10.4754 10.4295 10.4601
July 10.4563 10.3632 10.4183
August 10.4579 10.3622 10.4167
September 10.4538 10.3582 10.3892
October 10.5598 10.3759 10.4536
November 10.4120 10.3115 10.3932
December 10.4352 10.3642 10.4059