YEARLY HIGH
10.5900 BDT
YEARLY LOW
10.3432 BDT
YEARLY AVERAGE
10.4592 BDT

2019 MOP to BDT Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the MOP to BDT exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 27, valuing the pair at 10.5900. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 31, dropping to 10.3432.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2468 BDT. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 10.3789 to the December average rate of 10.5619, the exchange rate registered a net change of 1.76% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 10.5900 was up 0.29% compared to the 2018 peak of 10.5598, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 52,950 BDT
2018 Average 51,953 BDT
Yearly Trough Low 51,716 BDT
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,234.18 BDT purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

10.5802
10.3606
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to BDT Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 10.4198, compared to 10.4987 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0789 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 10.4198
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 10.4987

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was June, with a trading range of 0.0884 BDT (High: 10.5085 / Low: 10.4201). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0317 BDT (High: 10.4933 / Low: 10.4616).

June Spread (Volatile) ±0.0884
October Spread (Stable) ±0.0317

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 6 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.0381 points.

Longest Streak 6 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0381

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2019: 10.5619) against the same month in 2018 (average: 10.4059), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1560 (+1.50%).

2019 Avg (December) 10.5619
2018 Avg (December) 10.4059

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 10.4104 10.3432 10.3789
February 10.4074 10.3533 10.3878
March 10.4378 10.3706 10.3959
April 10.4683 10.4002 10.4347
May 10.4542 10.4210 10.4430
June 10.5085 10.4201 10.4784
July 10.5329 10.4794 10.5009
August 10.4918 10.4344 10.4628
September 10.4912 10.4090 10.4687
October 10.4933 10.4616 10.4823
November 10.5314 10.4967 10.5157
December 10.5900 10.5163 10.5619