YEARLY HIGH
0.8669 CNY
YEARLY LOW
0.7755 CNY
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.8195 CNY

2018 MOP to CNY Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the MOP to CNY exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on November 18, valuing the pair at 0.8669. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on April 15, dropping to 0.7755.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0915 CNY. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.7981 to the December average rate of 0.8553, the exchange rate registered a net change of 7.17% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.8669 was down 0.78% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.8737, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 4,335 CNY
2017 Average 4,211 CNY
Yearly Trough Low 3,877 CNY
Transaction Impact: A difference of 457.30 CNY purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.8689
0.7711
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to CNY Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.7888, compared to 0.8501 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0612 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.7888
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.8501

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was June, with a trading range of 0.0296 CNY (High: 0.8199 / Low: 0.7903). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0085 CNY (High: 0.7840 / Low: 0.7755).

June Spread (Volatile) ±0.0296
April Spread (Stable) ±0.0085

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 7 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0134 points.

Longest Streak 7 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0134

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (November 2018: 0.8608) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.8241), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0367 (+4.45%).

2018 Avg (November) 0.8608
2017 Avg (November) 0.8241

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.8113 0.7818 0.7981
February 0.7883 0.7775 0.7847
March 0.7889 0.7769 0.7830
April 0.7840 0.7755 0.7793
May 0.7949 0.7819 0.7880
June 0.8199 0.7903 0.8000
July 0.8436 0.8188 0.8309
August 0.8576 0.8415 0.8471
September 0.8552 0.8438 0.8491
October 0.8638 0.8503 0.8574
November 0.8669 0.8552 0.8608
December 0.8596 0.8505 0.8553