YEARLY HIGH
0.8750 CNY
YEARLY LOW
0.8375 CNY
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.8516 CNY

2026 MOP to CNY Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2026

During 2026, the MOP to CNY exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 25, valuing the pair at 0.8750. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on June 2, dropping to 0.8375.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0375 CNY. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.8683 to the December average rate of 0.8391, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.36% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2026 high of 0.8750 was down 5.21% compared to the 2025 peak of 0.9230, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 4,375 CNY
2025 Average 4,476 CNY
Yearly Trough Low 4,187 CNY
Transaction Impact: A difference of 187.59 CNY purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2026.

0.8713
0.8362
JanuFebrMarcApriMayJune

MOP to CNY Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.8516, compared to 0.0000 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.8516 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.8516
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0000

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2026 was February, with a trading range of 0.0154 CNY (High: 0.8648 / Low: 0.8494). On the other end, June was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0026 CNY (High: 0.8401 / Low: 0.8375).

February Spread (Volatile) ±0.0154
June Spread (Stable) ±0.0026

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2026. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0095 points.

Longest Streak 0 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0095

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2026: 0.8683) against the same month in 2025 (average: 0.9098), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0414 (-4.55%).

2026 Avg (January) 0.8683
2025 Avg (January) 0.9098

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.8750 0.8643 0.8683
February 0.8648 0.8494 0.8588
March 0.8609 0.8491 0.8554
April 0.8545 0.8417 0.8477
May 0.8460 0.8384 0.8404
June 0.8401 0.8375 0.8391