YEARLY HIGH
1.8618 ERN
YEARLY LOW
0.1234 ERN
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.9026 ERN

2026 MOP to ERN Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2026

During 2026, the MOP to ERN exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 16, valuing the pair at 1.8618. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 1, dropping to 0.1234.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.7385 ERN. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.1245 to the December average rate of 1.8572, the exchange rate registered a net change of 1391.18% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2026 high of 1.8618 was up 1376.00% compared to the 2025 peak of 0.1261, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 9,309 ERN
2025 Average 623 ERN
Yearly Trough Low 617 ERN
Transaction Impact: A difference of 8,692.37 ERN purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2026.

2.0321
-0.0494
JanuMarcMayJuly

MOP to ERN Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.7435, compared to 1.8572 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 1.1137 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.7435
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.8572

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2026 was April, with a trading range of 1.7352 ERN (High: 1.8587 / Low: 0.1235). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0011 ERN (High: 1.8592 / Low: 1.8581).

April Spread (Volatile) ±1.7352
May Spread (Stable) ±0.0011

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.0008 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0008

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2026: 1.8572) against the same month in 2025 (average: 0.1237), the exchange rate shifted by +1.7335 (+1401.27%).

2026 Avg (July) 1.8572
2025 Avg (July) 0.1237

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.1255 0.1243 0.1245
February 0.1246 0.1234 0.1243
March 0.1248 0.1236 0.1241
April 1.8587 0.1235 0.3714
May 1.8592 1.8581 1.8587
June 1.8596 1.8543 1.8579
July 1.8618 1.8537 1.8572