YEARLY HIGH
3.5259 ETB
YEARLY LOW
3.3798 ETB
YEARLY AVERAGE
3.4277 ETB

2018 MOP to ETB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the MOP to ETB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 28, valuing the pair at 3.5259. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 20, dropping to 3.3798.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1460 ETB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.4092 to the December average rate of 3.4990, the exchange rate registered a net change of 2.64% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 3.5259 was up 3.11% compared to the 2017 peak of 3.4196, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 17,629 ETB
2017 Average 14,934 ETB
Yearly Trough Low 16,899 ETB
Transaction Impact: A difference of 730.19 ETB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

3.5090
3.3897
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to ETB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3.4067, compared to 3.4487 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0420 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3.4067
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3.4487

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was September, with a trading range of 0.0731 ETB (High: 3.4752 / Low: 3.4022). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0116 ETB (High: 3.4114 / Low: 3.3999).

September Spread (Volatile) ±0.0731
May Spread (Stable) ±0.0116

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 8 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.0074 points.

Longest Streak 8 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0074

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2018: 3.4990) against the same month in 2017 (average: 3.3992), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0999 (+2.94%).

2018 Avg (December) 3.4990
2017 Avg (December) 3.3992

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 3.4452 3.3798 3.4092
February 3.4229 3.3948 3.4129
March 3.4190 3.3919 3.4055
April 3.4101 3.3903 3.3996
May 3.4114 3.3999 3.4037
June 3.4163 3.3907 3.4092
July 3.4339 3.3848 3.4111
August 3.4331 3.4116 3.4199
September 3.4752 3.4022 3.4344
October 3.4781 3.4260 3.4543
November 3.4937 3.4559 3.4736
December 3.5259 3.4574 3.4990