YEARLY HIGH
19.9910 ETB
YEARLY LOW
19.1527 ETB
YEARLY AVERAGE
19.5482 ETB

2026 MOP to ETB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2026

During 2026, the MOP to ETB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 20, valuing the pair at 19.9910. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on March 7, dropping to 19.1527.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.8383 ETB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 19.3783 to the December average rate of 19.9125, the exchange rate registered a net change of 2.76% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2026 high of 19.9910 was up 2.59% compared to the 2025 peak of 19.4856, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 99,955 ETB
2025 Average 86,530 ETB
Yearly Trough Low 95,763 ETB
Transaction Impact: A difference of 4,191.41 ETB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2026.

19.9742
19.2333
JanuMarcMayJuly

MOP to ETB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 19.4875, compared to 19.9125 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.4250 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 19.4875
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 19.9125

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2026 was June, with a trading range of 0.4494 ETB (High: 19.9778 / Low: 19.5284). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1419 ETB (High: 19.4646 / Low: 19.3227).

June Spread (Volatile) ±0.4494
January Spread (Stable) ±0.1419

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0833 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0833

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2026: 19.9125) against the same month in 2025 (average: 17.0322), the exchange rate shifted by +2.8803 (+16.91%).

2026 Avg (July) 19.9125
2025 Avg (July) 17.0322

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 19.4646 19.3227 19.3783
February 19.3957 19.1833 19.2951
March 19.5257 19.1527 19.3405
April 19.5013 19.3345 19.3919
May 19.8943 19.4496 19.7370
June 19.9778 19.5284 19.7822
July 19.9910 19.7333 19.9125