2016 MOP to GEL Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.3509 GEL

YEARLY LOW

0.2660 GEL

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.2957 GEL

2016 MOP to GEL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the MOP to GEL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 21, valuing the pair at 0.3509. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on June 7, dropping to 0.2660.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0849 GEL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.3039 to the December average rate of 0.3319, the exchange rate registered a net change of 9.21% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.3509 was up 13.97% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.3079, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,754 GEL

2015 Average 1,382 GEL

Yearly Trough Low 1,330 GEL

Transaction Impact: A difference of 424.46 GEL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.3379

0.2668

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to GEL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.2901, compared to 0.3013 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0112 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.2901

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.3013

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was December, with a trading range of 0.0309 GEL (High: 0.3509 / Low: 0.3199). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0040 GEL (High: 0.3112 / Low: 0.3072).

December Spread (Volatile) ±0.0309

February Spread (Stable) ±0.0040

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.0148 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0148

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2016: 0.3319) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.3004), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0315 (+10.49%).

2016 Avg (December) 0.3319

2015 Avg (December) 0.3004

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.3100	0.2999	0.3039
February	0.3112	0.3072	0.3097
March	0.3090	0.2864	0.2973
April	0.2878	0.2787	0.2824
May	0.2790	0.2672	0.2727
June	0.2953	0.2660	0.2743
July	0.2951	0.2895	0.2929
August	0.2947	0.2843	0.2900
September	0.2925	0.2861	0.2890
October	0.2991	0.2914	0.2947
November	0.3185	0.2999	0.3092
December	0.3509	0.3199	0.3319