YEARLY HIGH
0.3321 GEL
YEARLY LOW
0.2992 GEL
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.3079 GEL

2018 MOP to GEL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the MOP to GEL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 28, valuing the pair at 0.3321. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on April 4, dropping to 0.2992.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0329 GEL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.3176 to the December average rate of 0.3304, the exchange rate registered a net change of 4.01% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.3321 was down 3.98% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.3459, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,661 GEL
2017 Average 1,557 GEL
Yearly Trough Low 1,496 GEL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 164.65 GEL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.3333
0.2987
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to GEL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.3058, compared to 0.3100 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0042 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.3058
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.3100

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was November, with a trading range of 0.0275 GEL (High: 0.3307 / Low: 0.3032). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0018 GEL (High: 0.3034 / Low: 0.3015).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.0275
July Spread (Stable) ±0.0018

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0124 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0124

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2018: 0.3304) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.3261), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0043 (+1.33%).

2018 Avg (December) 0.3304
2017 Avg (December) 0.3261

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.3225 0.3063 0.3176
February 0.3078 0.3029 0.3052
March 0.3057 0.3010 0.3030
April 0.3052 0.2992 0.3016
May 0.3067 0.3008 0.3035
June 0.3052 0.3024 0.3036
July 0.3034 0.3015 0.3028
August 0.3078 0.3025 0.3053
September 0.3077 0.3023 0.3043
October 0.3047 0.3022 0.3033
November 0.3307 0.3032 0.3140
December 0.3321 0.3287 0.3304