YEARLY HIGH
35.6177 HUF
YEARLY LOW
30.6862 HUF
YEARLY AVERAGE
33.4783 HUF

2018 MOP to HUF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the MOP to HUF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on November 12, valuing the pair at 35.6177. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 1, dropping to 30.6862.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 4.9315 HUF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 31.4659 to the December average rate of 35.1951, the exchange rate registered a net change of 11.85% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 35.6177 was down 4.30% compared to the 2017 peak of 37.2167, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 178,088 HUF
2017 Average 170,867 HUF
Yearly Trough Low 153,431 HUF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 24,657.33 HUF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

35.5814
30.9457
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to HUF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 32.1568, compared to 34.7998 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 2.6430 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 32.1568
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 34.7998

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was May, with a trading range of 2.1022 HUF (High: 34.4003 / Low: 32.2981). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.5961 HUF (High: 31.7062 / Low: 31.1100).

May Spread (Volatile) ±2.1022
March Spread (Stable) ±0.5961

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 6 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.1339 points.

Longest Streak 6 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1339

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (November 2018: 35.1707) against the same month in 2017 (average: 33.0372), the exchange rate shifted by +2.1336 (+6.46%).

2018 Avg (November) 35.1707
2017 Avg (November) 33.0372

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 32.2239 30.9022 31.4659
February 31.9311 30.6862 31.3320
March 31.7062 31.1100 31.3591
April 32.0829 30.9795 31.4247
May 34.4003 32.2981 33.1563
June 35.1311 33.3969 34.2027
July 35.0794 33.9306 34.3360
August 35.3865 34.0314 34.6263
September 34.9668 33.9876 34.5308
October 35.4411 34.4381 34.9399
November 35.6177 34.7663 35.1707
December 35.5903 34.6875 35.1951