YEARLY HIGH
42.7800 HUF
YEARLY LOW
37.3331 HUF
YEARLY AVERAGE
39.4630 HUF

2026 MOP to HUF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2026

During 2026, the MOP to HUF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 8, valuing the pair at 42.7800. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on June 16, dropping to 37.3331.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 5.4469 HUF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 40.7486 to the December average rate of 39.2276, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.73% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2026 high of 42.7800 was down 15.14% compared to the 2025 peak of 50.4099, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 213,900 HUF
2025 Average 219,732 HUF
Yearly Trough Low 186,666 HUF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 27,234.30 HUF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2026.

42.1969
37.4182
JanuMarcMayJuly

MOP to HUF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 39.5908, compared to 39.0794 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.5114 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 39.5908
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 39.0794

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2026 was April, with a trading range of 3.4452 HUF (High: 41.4778 / Low: 38.0326). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1681 HUF (High: 39.3116 / Low: 39.1436).

April Spread (Volatile) ±3.4452
August Spread (Stable) ±0.1681

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 2.4937 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -2.4937

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2026: 41.7987) against the same month in 2025 (average: 46.2761), the exchange rate shifted by -4.4774 (-9.68%).

2026 Avg (March) 41.7987
2025 Avg (March) 46.2761

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 41.3399 39.3872 40.7486
February 40.1717 39.3359 39.8004
March 42.7800 40.0173 41.7987
April 41.4778 38.0326 39.3050
May 38.4028 37.6050 37.8164
June 38.7673 37.3331 38.0759
July 39.6029 38.2197 38.9312
August 39.3116 39.1436 39.2276